Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 34.87%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.85%) and 1-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (13.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.