A wave of suspension-related absentees and potential change in between the sticks could very well disrupt the harmony in the Leganes camp, and the hosts have very little need to over-exert themselves and risk injury.
Almeria only taking one point against Alcorcon was quite the shock to the system, but the league's best defensive side have proven to be a tough nut to crack on the road recently, and we have faith in Rubi to steer his team back to La Liga courtesy of a narrow triumph.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.1) 
