SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
| 12 | Leganes | 41 | -1 | 53 |
| 13 | Mirandes | 42 | -4 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Almeria | 41 | 33 | 80 |
| 2 | Eibar | 40 | 19 | 80 |
| 3 | Real Valladolid | 41 | 25 | 78 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Almeria |
30.09% ( 0.09) | 26.18% ( -0.1) | 43.73% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( 0.43) | 52.37% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( 0.37) | 74.06% ( -0.36) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.28) | 31.86% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( 0.32) | 68.3% ( -0.32) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( 0.19) | 23.81% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% ( 0.27) | 57.98% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.09% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.72% |
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