Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
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