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Segunda Division | Gameweek 19
Dec 19, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio de La Romareda

Zaragoza
1 - 0
Lugo

Chavarria (69')
Amador (64'), Chavarria (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Torres (12'), Valentin (40')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawLugo
40.1%29.92%29.98%
Both teams to score 41.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.52%65.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.78%84.22%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98%32.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51%68.48%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02%38.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3%75.7%
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 40.09%
    Lugo 29.97%
    Draw 29.92%
Real ZaragozaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 14.21%
2-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.63%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 12.48%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.92%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 29.97%

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