SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
| 40.1% | 29.92% | 29.98% |
| Both teams to score 41.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.52% | 65.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.78% | 84.22% |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% | 32.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.51% | 68.48% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% | 38.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.3% | 75.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.63% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 12.48% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.92% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.97% |
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