Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Levante had a probability of 28.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.17) 
