Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Levante had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.