Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 42.29%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Sporting Gijon
42.29% ( -0.73)	30.67% ( 0.55)	27.04% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 38.47% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.53% (

-1.44)

68.48% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.76% (

-0.95)

86.25% (

0.96)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-1.17)

32.29% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-1.35)

68.79% (

1.35)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.82% (

-0.69)

43.19% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.56% (

-0.59)

79.45% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 42.29%

Sporting Gijon 27.03%

Draw 30.66%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 15.76% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.83% Total : 42.29%	0-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.72) 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.66%	0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.03%