Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.