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Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
1 - 0
Lugo

Campos (53')
Gragera (26'), Durdevic (71'), Garcia (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Seoane (67')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawLugo
49.74%27.84%22.42%
Both teams to score 41.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.23%62.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.7%82.3%
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46%25.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59%60.4%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8%44.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71%80.29%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 49.72%
    Lugo 22.42%
    Draw 27.83%
Sporting GijonDrawLugo
1-0 @ 15.4%
2-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.59%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 3.91%
4-0 @ 1.63%
3-2 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 49.72%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.02%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.42%

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