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Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Lugo


Martin (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barreiro (43' pen.)
Alende (90+3'), Canella (90+7')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawLugo
50.63%26.81%22.56%
Both teams to score 44.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64%59.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25%79.75%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39%23.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31%57.69%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.92%42.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5%78.5%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 50.63%
    Lugo 22.56%
    Draw 26.81%
Rayo VallecanoDrawLugo
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 22.56%

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