Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 40.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 29.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
