Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 43.15%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.45%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
