Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.