SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Malaga |
44.42% ( 0.66) | 28.9% ( 0.01) | 26.68% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 42.43% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.49% ( -0.33) | 63.51% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.17% ( -0.24) | 82.83% ( 0.24) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.2) | 28.58% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( 0.24) | 64.37% ( -0.24) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.4% ( -0.77) | 40.6% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.8% ( -0.7) | 77.2% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.53% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.9% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.31% Total : 26.68% |
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