Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 14.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
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