Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.26%. A win for Levante had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 2-1 (6.67%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (13.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.08) 
