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Segunda Division | Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
0 - 2
Ponferradina


Lomban (39'), Mejias (47'), Munoz (50'), Romero (73'), Jozabed (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sielva (16'), Panadero (88')
Amo (19')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 35.14%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.04%) and 1-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (13.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
MalagaDrawPonferradina
32.95%31.91%35.14%
Both teams to score 37.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.39%70.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.38%87.62%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35%39.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67%76.33%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94%38.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.17%74.83%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 32.94%
    Ponferradina 35.14%
    Draw 31.9%
MalagaDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 6.46%
2-1 @ 6.24%
3-0 @ 1.99%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 32.94%
0-0 @ 15.09%
1-1 @ 13.48%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 31.9%
0-1 @ 14.57%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 35.14%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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