Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 35.14%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.04%) and 1-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (13.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
