Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.75%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
