Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.26%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.97%) and 1-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (13.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
