Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.04%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malaga in this match.
