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Segunda Division | Gameweek 23
Jan 30, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Santo Domingo, Alcorcon, Madrid

Alcorcon
0 - 1
Malaga


Garcia (52'), Carlos (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chavarria (90+2')
Enriquez (15'), Escassi (45')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.04%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
AlcorconDrawMalaga
29.91%31.05%39.04%
Both teams to score 38.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.3%68.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.61%86.4%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54%77.46%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61%34.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9%71.1%
Score Analysis
    Alcorcon 29.91%
    Malaga 39.03%
    Draw 31.04%
AlcorconDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 6%
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 29.91%
0-0 @ 14.06%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.04%
0-1 @ 15%
0-2 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-3 @ 2.85%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.03%

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