Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.55%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
