Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 34.36%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 32.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (14.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.
