Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (12.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Cartagena
36.93% ( -0.11)	29.69% ( 0.05)	33.38% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 42.87% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.81% (

-0.15)

64.19% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.68% (

-0.11)

83.32% (

0.11)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-0.15)

33.31% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

-0.17)

69.93% (

0.17)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-0.04)

35.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-0.04)

72.49% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Malaga 36.92%

Cartagena 33.38%

Draw 29.68%

Malaga	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.92%	1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.68%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.38%