Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.79%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 29.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-2 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.26%), while for a Mirandes win it was 1-0 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.