Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.65%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.