Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 1-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mirandes in this match.
