SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mirandes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Real Oviedo |
40.92% ( -0.4) | 28.69% ( -0.1) | 30.39% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.52% ( 0.48) | 61.48% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.65% ( 0.35) | 81.35% ( -0.35) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( 0) | 29.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.47% ( 0.01) | 65.53% ( -0.01) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.65) | 36.45% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.77% ( 0.65) | 73.23% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.38% |
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