Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.