SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Villarreal II |
48.19% ( -0.74) | 25.41% ( 0.15) | 26.4% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -0.2) | 51.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( -0.17) | 73.14% ( 0.17) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.4) | 21.3% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.75% ( -0.62) | 54.25% ( 0.63) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.38) | 34.13% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.19% ( 0.41) | 70.82% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 48.19% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.4% |
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