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Segunda Division | Gameweek 28
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 1
Real Oviedo

Martos (9'), Musto (38')
Musto (66'), Pepe (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sequeira (80')
Ahijado (38'), Luismi (74')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Real Oviedo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eibar 0-3 Cartagena
Sunday, February 12 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 0-1 Burgos
Sunday, February 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawReal Oviedo
39.38% (1.043 1.04) 30.14% (-0.29 -0.29) 30.48% (-0.751 -0.75)
Both teams to score 41.11% (0.509 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.99% (0.71 0.71)66.01% (-0.706 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.41% (0.483 0.48)84.59% (-0.482 -0.48)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (1.029 1.03)32.74% (-1.025 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (1.132 1.13)69.29% (-1.128 -1.13)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.11% (-0.18 -0.18)38.89% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.38% (-0.17 -0.17)75.62% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 39.37%
    Real Oviedo 30.48%
    Draw 30.12%
CartagenaDrawReal Oviedo
1-0 @ 14.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 12.72% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.12%
0-1 @ 12.02% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 30.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Eibar 0-3 Cartagena
Sunday, February 12 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Levante
Sunday, February 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Ibiza 2-2 Cartagena
Sunday, January 29 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Tenerife
Sunday, January 22 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Huesca
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Granada 1-0 Cartagena
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 0-1 Burgos
Sunday, February 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 0-1 Real Oviedo
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 0-1 Villarreal II
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 1-1 Real Oviedo
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Alaves
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: FC Andorra 3-1 Real Oviedo
Saturday, January 7 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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