SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Alaves |
43.27% ( -1.28) | 27.81% ( 0.11) | 28.92% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.55% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.04% ( 0.11) | 58.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.56% ( 0.08) | 79.44% ( -0.08) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( -0.62) | 27.02% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( -0.81) | 62.38% ( 0.82) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( 1) | 36.21% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27% ( 1) | 73% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.92% Total : 28.92% |
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