SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 43.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Villarreal II |
43.27% ( -0.06) | 29.19% ( 0.02) | 27.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.2% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.95% ( -0.04) | 64.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.78% ( -0.03) | 83.22% ( 0.03) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.05) | 29.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.07) | 65.47% ( 0.07) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.83% ( 0.01) | 40.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.19% ( 0.01) | 76.81% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 27.53% |
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