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Segunda Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinón

Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Ponferradina

Garcia (67'), Vazquez (87')
Rosas (26'), Diaz (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aizpuru (18')
Magagi (13'), Moran (37')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 35.42%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (13.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawPonferradina
35.42%30.99%33.59%
Both teams to score 39.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.9%68.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14%86%
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56%36.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77%73.23%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27%37.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49%74.51%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 35.41%
    Ponferradina 33.59%
    Draw 30.98%
Sporting GijonDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 13.87%
2-0 @ 7.01%
2-1 @ 6.83%
3-0 @ 2.36%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 35.41%
0-0 @ 13.74%
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.98%
0-1 @ 13.4%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 33.59%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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