Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.