Segunda Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santo Domingo
Gonzalez (13'), Addai (49'), Castro (81')
Gonzalez (64'),
Sousa (73'),
Lopez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlos Arana (85')
Fernandez (15')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Racing de Santander.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alcorcon would win this match.
| Result |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Racing de Santander |
39.64% ( 0.16) | 29.29% ( -0.08) | 31.07% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.43% ( 0.17) |
| 36.72% ( 0.22) | 63.28% ( -0.22) |
| 17.33% ( 0.16) | 82.67% ( -0.16) |
| 68.84% ( 0.21) | 31.16% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.5% ( 0.24) | 67.5% ( -0.24) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| 63.09% ( 0.06) | 36.91% ( -0.06) |
