Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.