SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.31%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Racing de Santander |
39.31% ( -0.24) | 30.6% ( 0.09) | 30.09% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.59% ( -0.23) | 67.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.46% ( -0.16) | 85.54% ( 0.16) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.27) | 33.52% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( -0.3) | 70.16% ( 0.3) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60% ( -0.02) | 40% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.35% ( -0.02) | 76.65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 13.4% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.58% | 0-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 30.08% |
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