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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Granada |
34.41% ( 0.03) | 29.57% ( 0.32) | 36.02% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 43.27% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.25% ( -1.05) | 63.75% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17% ( -0.75) | 83% ( 0.76) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( -0.54) | 34.76% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% ( -0.58) | 71.49% ( 0.58) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.77) | 33.68% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -0.85) | 70.33% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.22% Total : 34.41% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.01% |
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