SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.18%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
33.3% ( 0.22) | 30.23% ( 0.04) | 36.46% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.11) | 65.89% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.49% ( -0.07) | 84.51% ( 0.07) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.1) | 36.71% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( 0.1) | 73.49% ( -0.1) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( -0.23) | 34.53% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( -0.25) | 71.24% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.22% | 0-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.46% |
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