Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.1) 
