Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 45.02%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.9%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.