Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.43%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.44%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
0.09) 
-0.08) 
