Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.