Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
