Whilst the hosts have been in excellent form recently, Valencia's extra quality will likely prove to be too much on this occasion. We are backing a comfortable away victory for the favourites.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.