Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 35.21%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
