SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 35.21%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Cartagena |
| 35.09% | 29.7% | 35.21% |
| Both teams to score 42.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.86% | 64.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.72% | 83.28% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% | 34.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.78% | 71.22% |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% | 34.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.86% | 71.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.08% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.87% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.68% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.2% |
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