Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.9%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
