Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.
