Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
-0.17) 
0.11) 
