SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Real Valladolid |
35.16% ( 1.85) | 25.76% ( 0.69) | 39.07% ( -2.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( -2.7) | 49.24% ( 2.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( -2.49) | 71.29% ( 2.48) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.18) | 26.98% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( -0.23) | 62.33% ( 0.22) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -2.49) | 24.78% ( 2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( -3.59) | 59.35% ( 3.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.47)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.28)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.07% |
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